- April 14, 2020COVID-19 hospitalisation demand in India could reach 18 lakh: CDDEP.
Financial Express– April 14, 2020. Against the availability of just over 7 lakh beds at government hospital facilities in India, the peak COVID-19 hospitalisation demand in the country could be as high as 18.7 lakh in a hard/moderate lockdown scenario, researchers associated with the Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy (CDDEP), Johns Hopkins University […]
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- April 14, 2020Has India’s ‘airpocalypse’ put the poor more at risk from coronavirus?
Thomson Reuters Foundation– April 14, 2020. Respiratory problems can also be made worse by “co-morbidities” – or existing medical conditions – like hypertension and diabetes, said Ramanan Laxminarayan, director of the Washington D.C.-based Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy. “The poor are more likely to have these co-morbidities and are exposed to higher levels of air pollution […]
Read moreRead more Read More - April 14, 2020Lockdown ‘slowed spread’.
The Telegraph– April 14, 2020. The work by the other research group at the US-based Centre for Disease Dynamics Economics and Policyhas suggested that a hard lockdown — reducing transmission by 44 per cent — would have pushed the peak of the infections in India from end-May (around May 27) to mid-June (around June 17).
Read moreRead more Read More - April 14, 2020Densely Populated UP and Bihar Have Recorded Just About 6% of India’s Covid-19 Cases but Some Experts are Sceptical.
News 18– April 14, 2020. According to experts, the low number of coronavirus cases in Bihar and Uttar Pradesh is specious. The situation in the two states is unclear “probably due to low levels of testing and also a weak health system. States with the strongest health systems are more likely to detect cases quickly,” […]
Read moreRead more Read More - April 13, 2020Modi must extend coronavirus lockdown, bad idea to allow industry to restart.
Financial Express– April 13, 2020. The latest numbers from CDDEP are looking at 73 crore Indians getting infected by September and over one crore needing hospitalization; so it is difficult to understand how people believe livelihood won’t be affected if lives are not saved.
Read moreRead more Read More - April 13, 2020Covid-19 endgame: How India could move from lockdowns to disease control.
Hindustan Times– April 13, 2020. By Ramanan Laxminarayan. A more feasible option is to achieve herd immunity- a concept which predicts that all of India would be protected as long as at least 65% of the population has experienced the infection, even without symptoms or in its mildest form.
Read moreRead more Read More - April 12, 2020Andaman & Nicobar has started conducting pool tests for Covid-19 first in the country.
The Print– April 12, 2020. A study by researchers at the Texas A&M University, Centre for Disease Dynamics, Economics and Policy (CDDEP) and Princeton University in the US had assessed the feasibility of pooled real-time Reverse Transcription Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) testing. The RT-PCR test is used to determine whether an individual has contracted Covid-19.
Read moreRead more Read More - April 9, 2020Coronavirus: India needs to proactively identify hotspots to stop millions from getting infected, says director of CDDEP.
CNBC TV 18– April 9, 2020. Professor Laxminarayan had earlier warned of a massive outbreak in India and raised red flags suggesting that India should prepare for a tsunami of cases. Reviewing his position on India’s situation he said, “Modelling is used for two purposes, it is used to project what will happen in the absence of […]
Read moreRead more Read More - April 8, 2020Rational Expectations: Vital to get India’s health on track.
Financial Express– April 8, 2020. As Dr Laxminarayanof CDDEP showed, even in a scenario where 1% of Indians got infected, with a much smaller share of those needing hospitalization, and India were to get rid of all other patients, the country still simply doesn’t have the hospital beds to take care of them.
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